FERTILIZER AND “THE FOURTH HORSEMAN OF THE FOOD APOCALYPSE”

The title of this recent article by Luke Burgess in the Newsletter of the Investment Service, The Outside Club caught my attention. “The Fourth Horseman of the Food Apocalypse“. I immediately thought Luke Burgess has got it wrong, it is the Third Horseman of the Apocalypse that represents famine and pestilence. In fact, I recently put up the post THE THIRD SEAL (Third Horseman) OF REVELATION INDICATES A WORLD FOOD SHORTAGE.

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is 47f1ba3581de711c573e7dbbff101821.jpg
A QUART OF WHEAT FOR A DAYS WAGES & THREE QUARTS OF BARLEY FOR A DAYS WAGES

The Fourth Horseman is on “a pale horse! And its rider’s name was Death, and Hades followed him. And they were given authority over a fourth of the earth, to kill with sword and with famine and with pestilence and by wild beasts of the earth.” Revelation 6:8

So in fact Luke is correct, the Third Horseman introduces famine but the Fourth Horseman is death by famine, pestilence, and the sword.

Death by famine in 2022?

Luke’s article reveals a lot of what will cause the coming world food shortage so is worth reproducing here.

What Is Driving Food Prices Higher?

The first thing we need to consider about the price of food is it is connected to an unimaginable number of constantly changing variables. The price of food is not increasing for one reason, or two reasons, or a dozen reasons. The price of food is increasing for a million different reasons, all of which are constantly changing. Still, some factors play a much larger role in food prices than others.

The price of food in 2021 has been driven higher by three main culprits:

  • rising energy prices,
  • labor shortages, and
  • supply chain issues.

Each of these factors has contributed to some degree to your higher grocery bills. And each is expected to continue adding to your grocery bill with no relief in sight for energy, labor, or supply chain problems. But there’s a FOURTH factor that’s set to be a major driver of food prices in 2022 — one that only very few people are taking into serious account right now.

Fertilizer: The Fourth Horseman of the Food Apocalypse

The price of fertilizers absolutely skyrocketed in 2021.

DTN, a world leader in agricultural intelligence and analytics, identifies eight major fertilizers in the market. According to DTN, FIVE of the eight major fertilizers on the market have more than doubled in price during 2021.

DTN’s eight major fertilizers are:

  • DAP (diammonium phosphate) — up 71% for the year
  • MAP (monoammonium phosphate) — up 68% for the year
  • Potash — up 105% for the year
  • Urea — up 123% for the year
  • 10-34-0 — up 51% for the year
  • Anhydrous ammonia — up 138% for the year
  • UAN-28 — up 161% for the year
  • UAN-32 — up 142% for the year

With global food prices still set to continue soaring higher, we can expect world food insecurity to become much, much worse in 2022.

For the United States and other wealthy Western nations, the global food crisis will be extremely painful. But for some nations, it might mean complete collapse. You see, here in the U.S. we spend about 10% of our income on food. If the price of food doubled, we’d be still only spending about 20% of our income on food. Heck, the price of food could triple and as long as you could make spending cuts somewhere else, you could probably afford it. But that’s because you live in the United States, where food is relatively cheap.

In very poor and developing nations like Nigeria, Cameroon, Myanmar, and Bangladesh, the average person spends 50% to 60% of their income on food — and that’s the average person. According to SB Morgen Intelligence, Nigerians who earn less than the government-mandated minimum wage spend 95% of their income on food consumption. So what happens if the price of food doubles in those nations? Well, pretty simple — the average citizen can’t afford to buy food. And what happens then?

Well, you know the answer… Civil unrest… rioting… destruction… death. Can it get any worse? Yeah, it can. Just look at what’s happening in Afghanistan right now.

The Taliban regime that retook Afghanistan in 2021 does not have funds to procure food items and other essentials. This has created such an unprecedented surge in food prices and left the Afghan people still in the country desperate — so desperate that last week The Hindustan Times reported scores of hungry Afghans were selling their own children to survive.

The 2022 global food crisis will touch the lives of every single person on the planetand with a deeper impact than any crisis of the past few decades.

You’re going to see the highest food prices of your life.

You’re going to see empty grocery store shelves again as people begin to hoard.

You’re going to see civil unrest, wars, death, and destruction worldwide.

I have seen this crisis coming for months. Back in August, I wrote an article for Outsider Club titled “Brace for Civil Unrest as Food Prices Skyrocket.” And for most of that time since, I have been investigating how to best protect Outsider Club readers from this food crisis.

These are the prophesied “last days” before Jesus second coming to earth. God has given us plenty of prophecies warning of what will precede Jesus’ return so we can have a sense of urgency to complete the Great Commission and the specific tasks He has assigned to each of us.

THE THIRD SEAL OF REVELATION INDICATES A WORLD FOOD SHORTAGE

Are we watching the governments and global billionaires intentionally trying to crash the economy? Are supply shortages, not enough workers, and hyper-inflation we see now going to cause the economic collapse seen in the 3rd Seal of Revelation?

THIRD SEAL FAMINE AND SCARCITIES

A QUART OF WHEAT FOR A DAYS WAGES & THREE QUARTS OF BARLEY FOR A DAYS WAGES

Are we headed toward that biblical event? What is causing these effects like the worker shortage and what can a Christian do about them right now to PREPARE for the Third Seal? Watch this episode of Last Days Breaking News with Nelson Walters to find out.

When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!” Revelation 6:5-6

OVER 7 MILLION IN EAST AFRICA ON BRINK OF STARVATION

Over 7 million people across six East African countries are at the cusp of starvation as communities have faced existential threats from violence, flooding, the pandemic and locust infestation, the evangelical humanitarian organization World Vision has warned. Jesus also warned us that ecological disasters will be one of the signs the Father gives us prior to Jesus second coming to earth.

Tell us, when will these things be, and what will be the sign of your coming and of the end of the age?” And Jesus answered them … There will be great earthquakes, and in various places famines and pestilences.Matthew 24:3-7

According to the charity, which operates in nearly 100 countries, thousands of children could face death or long-term health consequences if the international community does not respond quickly to East Africa’s worsening crisis. 

Debebe Dawit, program manager for World Vision’s humanitarian emergency affairs team, recently visited Ethiopia and saw firsthand the effects of poverty in the East African country. He said the situation is “severe.”

“The situation is very severe in East Africa, and particularly Ethiopia. Over 2 million people are in need of food assistance,” Dawit told The Christian Post in a Thursday interview. “Among conflict, COVID-19, flooding, locust infestation, all these are adding [an] additional burden to the community.”

Kenya – The desert locusts have swarmed in Kenya from Somalia and Ethiopia, destroying farmlands. Ravenous swarms threaten entire East Africa subregion. FAO scales up its emergency response with a massive, border-spanning campaign needed to combat locust upsurge in East Africa.

Before the pandemic began, several countries in East Africa faced a widespread desert locust infestation that impacted hundreds of thousands of hectares and damaged croplands and pastures

Later in 2020, large-scale floods destroyed crops that were ready to harvest, which impacted the food supply for 4 million people in the region, World Vision reports. 

Matters have also been complicated by military conflicts — most recently the Tigray conflict — and the rise of Islamic extremism. 

In the face of unprecedented global demands for humanitarian funding, crises in East Africa are receiving limited international attention, despite urgent and life-threatening needs,” Joseph Kamara, World Vision’s regional humanitarian and emergency affairs director for East Africa, said in a statement. “We appeal to national governments, regional institutions, humanitarian actors and donors to urgently address the hunger crisis in East Africa and more forcefully communicate its breadth and severity.

PLAGUES OF BIBLICAL PROPORTIONS

David Beasley is the executive director of the U.N. World Food Program, and he recently stated that we are heading directly into “the worst humanitarian crisis since World War Two.” Hunger is rapidly rising all over the globe, and he believes that if dramatic intervention does not happen quickly we could see an astounding death toll.

According to Beasley, we could soon see 300,000 people around the world starve to death every single day, and that figure doesn’t even factor in the effect of this coronavirus pandemic:

“If we can’t reach these people with the life-saving assistance they need, our analysis shows that 300,000 people could starve to death every single day over a three-month period,” he upheld. “This does not include the increase of starvation due to COVID-19.

Even before COVID-19 became the biggest public health crisis to hit the globe in decades, enormous swarms of locusts the size of major cities were devouring crops throughout eastern Africa, across the Middle East and even in some parts of Asia. Now a new generation that officials are describing as “20 times bigger” has emerged, and the devastation that this new generation of locusts is causing is extremely alarming. These colossal locust swarms can travel up to 90 miles a day, and as you will see below, when they descend upon a field they can literally eat everything there in as little as 30 seconds. This new generation of locusts has been spotted as far south as Congo, as far north as Iran and as far east as India. In other words, the food supplies of billions of people are at risk.

In addition, another plague of “biblical proportions” has been killing off pigs in unprecedented numbers.

It is hard to believe that African Swine Fever has already killed off half the pigs in China and one-fourth of all the pigs in the entire world but this quote comes directly from New Scientist:

“A quarter of the world’s domestic pigs have died this year as a virus rampages across Eurasia, and that may be just the start. Half the pigs in China – which last year numbered 440 million, some 50 percent of the world’s pigs – have either died of African swine fever (ASF) or been killed to stamp out the virus.

ASF comes from East Africa. In 2007, it reached Georgia in the Caucasus in contaminated meat, and in infected wild boar. Now, it is all over Russia and eastern Europe and infected wild boar have turned up as far west as Belgium. It is also spreading in east Asia, killing many pigs in Vietnam and elsewhere.”

Never before have we seen so many catastrophic threats to the global food supply emerge at the same time. It appears that “the perfect storm” is now upon us, and I anticipate that global events will continue to accelerate in the months ahead.

Even in the West, in countries where famine is inconceivable, we are seeing reports that are of concern: Farmers all over America are seeing their hard work go to waste because broken supply chains have made it impossible to sell what they have produced. One industry expert is actually claiming that “billions” of dollars worth of crops have gone to waste as a result of this crisis:

Crops planted months before based on pre-pandemic demand spoiled without buyers. Billions of dollars’ worth of produce went to waste, much of it tilled back into the soil, said Cathy Burns, CEO of the Produce Marketing Assn., which represents produce companies. She said, I have a feeling that eventually we will greatly regret allowing so much good food to go to waste.

Australia, which made a rare purchase of Canadian wheat in the current marketing year, is expected to continue buying more wheat in the 2019-20 marketing year (October-September), as weather conditions remain difficult in key states, market analysts say.

 The once pristine Kangaroo Island is barren following fires at the weekend
Before and after fire devastation in Australia

Australia’s wheat output dropped 45.6% to 17.3 million mt in the 2018-19 marketing year from a record high of 31.8 million mt in 2016-17, owing to prolonged drought conditions, data from the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics shows. This forced the country to import wheat for the first time in 12 years.

We still have quite a way to go before we get to the type of famines described in the Scriptures, but it certainly looks like the stage is being set for severe hunger on a global scale.

But Jesus didn’t warn us about these things so that we would live in fear. God knew about all of this in advance, He is in control and He has a plan.

Unfortunately, most of the world doesn’t want anything to do with the God of the Bible or His plan, and so they will be facing what is to come all by themselves. What about you and your church group?

God wants to involve you in getting the good news of the Gospel to your immediate family, friends and certainly your workplace, maybe even beyond. Are you spending time in the Word and prayer. Scripture clearly tells us, He is at the door knocking, will you let Him in and allow Him to reveal what it is He would like to involve you in, to achieve His plan?

END TIMES PESTILENCES AND FAMINE

Four plagues are marching across Asia simultaneously: Coronavirus, African Swine Fever, H5N1 Bird Flu And H1N1 Swine Flu and as well the locust plague sweeping Africa and the Middle East is not abating.  Weeks before the coronavirus spread through much of the world, parts of Africa were already threatened by another kind of plague, the biggest locust outbreak some countries had seen in 70 years. Now the second wave of the voracious insects, some 20 times the size of the first, is arriving.

Reports coming out of South Carolina are indicating that an infectious and fatal strain of bird flu has been confirmed in a commercial turkey flock. The report from News Channel 9 is stating that this is the first case of this serious of a strain of the in the United States since 2017 and a worrisome development for an industry that was devastated by previous outbreaks.

Deadly bird flu found in South Carolina commercial turkey flock

As well as the Coronavirus which has been getting all the news coverage, three other plagues have also been marching across Asia, and most people in the western world don’t even realise that this is happening. Long before we ever heard of this new coronavirus, African Swine Fever was devastating pork farms from one end of China to the other. There is no vaccine for “pig ebola”, there is no cure, and once it hits a farm the only thing that can be done is to kill every single pig so that it won’t spread anywhere else. But even though draconian measures have been implemented, it has just kept spreading, and at this point “about two-thirds of China’s swine herd has been lost.”

Brett Stuart, president of the market research and analysis firm Global AgriTrends, estimates that about two-thirds of China’s swine herd has been lost to the disease and contrary to official government reports of recovery, more pigs are dying every day as ASF continues to spread.

Prior to this crisis, approximately half of all the pigs in the entire world lived in China, and they would usually slaughter about 700 million a year. But now pork production has absolutely plummeted, and this is driving pork prices in China through the roof.

Unfortunately, this insidious disease has also been devastating farms in many other nations all over the planet. In particular, Cambodia, North Korea, South Korea, Vietnam and the Philippines have been hit particularly hard.

It has been estimated that one out of every four pigs in the entire world has already died and this crisis is far from over.

Meanwhile, there has been a very alarming resurgence of the H5N1 bird flu in China. According to the Daily Mail, more than 17,000 chickens have been culled in an effort to keep this new outbreak from spreading further…

China has reportedly seen an outbreak of a ‘highly pathogenic’ strain of H5N1 bird flu which has already killed 4,500 chickens. The outbreak was initially reported at a farm in Shaoyang city in the southern province of Hunan, south of the epicentre of the Coronavirus in Wuhan. According to the Reuters report, Chinese authorities have already culled 17,828 poultry in the wake of the outbreak.

Unlike African Swine Fever, humans can become infected by the H5N1 bird flu and according to the World Health Organisation, the mortality rate for human cases is approximately 60 percent.

Alarmingly, the H5N1 bird flu has also popped up at a facility in India

Authorities in an eastern Indian state will start culling chickens and destroying eggs from Tuesday to contain a bird flu virus of the H5N1 strain, a government statement said on Monday. The samples collected from a poultry breeding and research farm of a veterinary college in Odisha state tested positive, the statement said.

We haven’t heard much about the H5N1 bird flu in recent years, but this is an extremely deadly disease, and so we will want to monitor these developments very carefully.

On top of everything else, the H1N1 swine flu is starting to spread once again. In fact, more than 100,000 people in Taiwan “sought medical treatment for flu-like symptoms at hospitals across the country over the past week” and there have been 13 confirmed deaths

At a time when the world is panicking over the coronavirus outbreak, the H1N1 flu virus is actually posing a greater threat in Taiwan, claiming 13 lives in the country in just one week, according to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC).

At a weekly meeting Friday, CDC Deputy Director-General Chuang Jen-hsiang (莊人祥) said 116,705 people sought medical treatment for flu-like symptoms at hospitals across the country over he past week, including 61 more confirmed flu cases.

Never before have we seen so many alarming outbreaks occur simultaneously. Could it be possible that we have entered a period of time when mass pandemics are going to become “the new normal”?

CITY-SIZED SWARMS OF LOCUSTS THREATEN FAMINE IN EAST AFRICA

A historic desert locust infestation in East Africa could cause the next major famine as people in the region are already struggling with hunger after droughts were followed by cyclone flooding, one of the world’s leading evangelical charities has warned. 

God tells us that He commands the locusts to devour the land and why. He also tells us what we need to do resolve the problem.

When I shut up heaven and there is no rain, or command the locusts to devour the land, or send pestilence among My people, if My people who are called by My name will humble themselves, and pray and seek My face, and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin and heal their land.” 2 Chronicles 7:13-14

When the disciples asked Jesus, “what will be the sign of Your coming, and of the end of the age?” Jesus answer included; “And there will be famines, pestilences, and earthquakes in various places.”

A growing spread of city-sized swarms of locusts has reached seven East African countries in recent months. The invasion has been described as something similar to an account from the book of Exodus as the grasshoppers have torn through crops, grass and other green vegetation. 

Desert locusts infest crops in the Habru District of Ethiopia on Feb. 4, 2020. | World Vision

Experts say the crisis might be the result of exceptionally wet weather from rare cyclones that hit the Arabian Peninsula and East Africa in December. The crisis is expected to grow as locusts are breeding and migrating. Additionally, drier weather could lead to an exponential increase in the number of locusts in the region. 

The U.N. has warned that the outbreak has already damaged tens of thousands of hectares of cropland across the Greater Horn of Africa, signifying the worst locust outbreak in Kenya in over 70 years and the worst outbreaks in Ethiopia and Somalia in 25 years. 

According to the U.N., one swarm can eat as much in vegetation as 35,000 humans. 

The biggest worry, Joseph Kamara, World Vision’s regional director for humanitarian and emergency affairs in East Africa, said, is if the crisis is not controlled by the time cropping season rolls around. He stressed that the region is already facing food deficits after many crops were destroyed by flooding last year. 

“So if we haven’t controlled them, then the region is facing famine, not just a food crisis, but a potential famine,” he stressed.